Noesis

Skills · the professional's toolkit

Ask like a professional.

The questions that separate retail investors from professionals aren't harder to phrase — they're harder to answer well because you don't know which factors to check. A skill is a reusable answer template that carries a professional's checklist into a question you can run for any name, event, or macro release.

15 skills currently available across 10 categories and 6 asker archetypes. Live engine execution is in early access — request below.

Free · 2 Core · 9 Premium · 4
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Showing 15 of 15 skills.

  • Move attribution

    Free
    👤 💎 📊

    Why did this stock move today?

    Rank the plausible causes of a single-name move with source citations and time-of-news markers.

    Example triggers
    • "why is <ticker> up/down"
    • "what's happening with <ticker>"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Historical analog

    Core
    💎 🌐 📊

    When did this pattern happen before?

    Find the closest historical analogs to a market event and report what followed as a distribution — not an anecdote.

    Example triggers
    • "has this happened before"
    • "historical parallels for <event>"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Regulatory / legal

    Core
    💎 🌐 ⚖️

    How have similar lawsuits / antitrust cases played out?

    Trace how comparable regulatory / legal cases progressed and what remedies were ultimately imposed.

    Example triggers
    • "what happened in similar antitrust cases"
    • "how long do these lawsuits take"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Structural vs cyclical

    Core
    💎 🌐 📊

    Is this change structural or cyclical?

    Determine whether a change is a permanent re-rating (structural) or a swing that will mean-revert (cyclical).

    Example triggers
    • "is this the new normal"
    • "will <thing> recover"
    • "structural or cyclical"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Risk & sizing

    Core
    📊 💎

    How deep and how long — drawdown & recovery distribution

    For an event class, get the historical distribution of max drawdown, duration, and time-to-recovery.

    Example triggers
    • "how far could it fall"
    • "how long until recovery"
    • "worst case for <ticker>"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Positioning & flow

    Core
    💎 📊

    What did institutional investors do this quarter?

    Parse the latest 13F filings to reveal who bought, who sold, and what that says about positioning.

    Example triggers
    • "who owns <ticker>"
    • "what did <fund> buy"
    • "berkshire 13f"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Corporate actions

    Free
    💎 👤

    What does a CEO / CFO / board change mean for the stock?

    Read a management change: bull signal (talented new CEO), bear signal (CFO fleeing accounting), or noise (planned succession).

    Example triggers
    • "<CEO> steps down"
    • "new CEO of <company>"
    • "CFO resignation"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Macro datapoint

    Core
    🌐 📊 ⚖️

    How should the market read this macro release?

    Decode a scheduled macro release (CPI, NFP, Fed, PMI, GDP) — headline vs composition vs policy repricing.

    Example triggers
    • "CPI came in at <X>"
    • "Fed decision today"
    • "NFP miss"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Competitive landscape

    Core
    📊 💎

    Who else moves when this stock / event moves?

    Map competitors, suppliers, customers, and substitutes — and rank the second-order plays.

    Example triggers
    • "who benefits from <event>"
    • "who loses from <event>"
    • "collateral impact of <X>"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Behavioral

    Core
    📊 💎

    Is this news already priced in?

    Determine whether the market has already absorbed the information — before you trade the news.

    Example triggers
    • "should I buy on this news"
    • "is this priced in"
    • "market didn't react — why"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Risk & sizing

    Premium
    📊 💎 👤

    What would this trade have made — parameterized backtest

    If I invested X at Y on Z and held N days (or with +a%/-b% rules), what would the historical P&L look like — for a specific date OR across similar events?

    Example triggers
    • "if I bought <ticker> today and held N days"
    • "backtest this trade"
    • "what would this strategy have made"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Risk & sizing

    Premium
    📊

    Backtest with exit rules (take-profit / stop-loss / trailing)

    Add take-profit, stop-loss, and trailing-stop rules to a backtest and measure how they reshape the return + risk distribution.

    Example triggers
    • "what if I stop out at -X%"
    • "take profit at +X%"
    • "trailing stop backtest"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Risk & sizing

    Premium
    📊 💎

    Event-driven backtest — apply rule to all historical instances

    For any event class, run the same trade rule on every historical occurrence and report the P&L distribution — the workhorse of systematic strategy design.

    Example triggers
    • "backtest across all instances of <event>"
    • "if I had bought every time <X> happened"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Risk & sizing

    Core
    📊 💎 🌐

    Risk-adjusted metrics — Sharpe, Sortino, Calmar, max DD

    Beyond raw returns — compute the industry-standard metrics that make strategies comparable across regimes and asset classes.

    Example triggers
    • "sharpe ratio"
    • "risk-adjusted return"
    • "max drawdown"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17
  • Risk & sizing

    Premium
    📊

    Walk-forward optimization — detect overfitting before it costs you

    Split the sample into in-sample tuning and out-of-sample validation windows, walk forward through time — the gold standard for detecting overfit strategies.

    Example triggers
    • "is this strategy overfit"
    • "walk forward validation"
    • "out of sample test"
    Try this skill → v1 · updated 2026-08-17

Roadmap

Milestone Skill count ETA
Seed set15✓ 2026-08-17
Category coverage complete252026-09
Cross-archetype depth (5+ per archetype)502026-10
"300 questions a Jane Street trader could ask"1502026-12
Long-tail — Larry's 500 target5002027 Q1

Early access

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The live engine runs any skill on any name, event, or macro release. Early access is opening now.

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